ABOUT THIS BLOG

I shall post videos, graphs, news stories, and other material there. We shall use some of this material in class, and you may review the rest at your convenience. You will all receive invitations to post to the blog. (Please let me know if you do not get such an invitation.) I encourage you to use the blog in these ways:
To post questions or comments about the readings before we discuss them in class;
To follow up on class discussions with additional comments or questions.
To post relevant news items or videos.

There are only two major limitations: no coarse language, and no derogatory comments about people at the Claremont Colleges.


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Tuesday, January 31, 2023

Elections

Ads

For Thursday, Davidson ch. 5

Competition

  • Incumbents Usually Win -- House and Senate
  • House and Senate margins  

    • Control

  • Midterms Are Bad for the President's Party
  • Since 1994:  control is in play, majorities are usually narrow.
  • In 2022, GOP won the aggregate popular vote for the House.
  • The historical pattern:



    • The House

  • Overview  -- the game
  • Gerrymandering: cracking, packing, merging, isolating
  • GOP Advantage in Non-Minority Districts
  • Crossover districts

    • The Senate

  • Senate classes (last year was a "class 3" election)
  • The vanishing of split delegations.  The 118th has just five:
    1. Maine:  Collins (R) and King (I)
    2. Montana: Tester (D) and Daines (R)
    3. Ohio:  Brown (D) and Vance (R)
    4. WV:  Manchin (D) and Capito (R)
    5. Wisconsin: Johnson (R) and Baldwin (D)

    Campaign Finance

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