Political Deals

For next week, Davidson, ch. 10. 

Research Review

The VA Scandal

Sanders and McCain find a deal

Bernie Sanders and John McCain

Why did Sanders focus on veterans?

Policy Windows and  The Issue-Attention Cycle

"The tide in the affairs of men does not remain at flood -- it ebbs. We may cry out desperately for time to pause in her passage, but time is adamant to every plea and rushes on. Over the bleached bones and jumbled residues of numerous civilizations are written the pathetic words, `Too late.'" -- Martin Luther King, Jr.

Coda II:  Infrastructure and the importance of policy windows

Public Lands Case Study

Most public lands are in the West:

 

Public Lands 2019

A couple of quotations about Congress and life in general:

• "At some point somebody has to decide, let's do it the old-fashioned way, which is `one thing I hate for one thing I love.'" (Lawrence, p. 39)
• "Here's a list of what we have to have. Here's a list of the ones we really, really hate. Here's a list of `if you put this language on page 4 we could swallow it.' And then you work that list." (Lawrence, pp. 40-41).

The vehicle

(The military administers 8.8 million acres of land)

The writeup  -- summary of provisions (and an illustration of Archive.org)

THE US DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE IS PRIMARILY A SOCIAL WELFARE AGENCY.

The 2014 farm bill and the "dairy cliff" penalty default (Lawrence, p. 51)

Congress and the Art of the Political Deal

 

Conditions for Deliberative Negotiation (Lawrence, p. 14)

• Acceptable sources of information. 
• Repeated interactions 
• Penalty defaults (debt ceiling)
• Privacy

Integrative Negotiation and linkage:  It takes a logjam to logroll.

Budget sequestration

Murray-Ryan:  A summary

Coda:  They pretty much gave up on deficit control

Crisis and Scandal as a Prod to Action

Sanders and McCain find a deal

Bernie Sanders and John McCain

Policy Windows and  The Issue-Attention Cycle




Public Lands Case Study

Most public lands are in the West:

 

Public Lands 2019

A couple of quotations about Congress and life in general:

• "At some point somebody has to decide, let's do it the old-fashioned way, which is `one thing I hate for one thing I love.'" (Lawrence, p. 39)
• "Here's a list of what we have to have. Here's a list of the ones we really, really hate. Here's a list of `if you put this language on page 4 we could swallow it.' And then you work that list." (Lawrence, pp. 40-41).

The vehicle

(The military administers 8.8 million acres of land)

The writeup  -- summary of provisions (and an illustration of Archive.org)

THE US DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE IS PRIMARILY A SOCIAL WELFARE AGENCY.

The 2014 farm bill and the "dairy cliff" penalty default (Lawrence, p. 51)

Political Deals I

Subminimum wage bill (S 533)

 

 

Conditions for Deliberative Negotiation (Lawrence, p. 14)

• Acceptable sources of information. 
• Repeated interactions 
• Penalty defaults (debt ceiling:  alum explains why it might not work this year)
• Privacy

Integrative Negotiation and linkage:  It takes a logjam to logroll.

Budget sequestration

Murray-Ryan:  A summary

Coda: They pretty much gave up on deficit control

Crisis and Scandal as a Prod to Action

Sanders and McCain find a deal

Bernie Sanders and John McCain

Policy Windows and  The Issue-Attention Cycle

Coda II:  Infrastructure and the important of policy windows

Public Lands Case Study

Most public lands are in the West:

 

Public Lands 2019

A couple of quotations about Congress and life in general:

• "At some point somebody has to decide, let's do it the old-fashioned way, which is `one thing I hate for one thing I love.'" (Lawrence, p. 39)
• "Here's a list of what we have to have. Here's a list of the ones we really, really hate. Here's a list of `if you put this language on page 4 we could swallow it.' And then you work that list." (Lawrence, pp. 40-41).

The vehicle

(The military administers 8.8 million acres of land)

The writeup  -- summary of provisions (and an illustration of Archive.org)

THE US DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE IS PRIMARILY A SOCIAL WELFARE AGENCY.

The 2014 farm bill and the "dairy cliff" penalty default (Lawrence, p. 51)

The Art of the Political Deal

And to repeat:  Conditions for Deliberative Negotiation (Lawrence, p. 14)

• Acceptable sources of information. 
• Repeated interactions 
• Penalty defaults
• Privacy

Integrative Negotiation:  It takes a logjam to logroll.

Budget sequestration

Murray-Ryan:  A summary

Coda:  They pretty much gave up on deficit control

Crisis and Scandal as a Prod to Action

Sanders and McCain find a deal

Bernie Sanders and John McCain

Policy Windows and  The Issue-Attention Cycle




Public Lands Case Study

Most public lands are in the West:

 

Public Lands 2019

A couple of quotations about Congress and life in general:

• "At some point somebody has to decide, let's do it the old-fashioned way, which is `one thing I hate for one thing I love.'" (Lawrence, p. 39)
• "Here's a list of what we have to have. Here's a list of the ones we really, really hate. Here's a list of `if you put this language on page 4 we could swallow it.' And then you work that list." (Lawrence, pp. 40-41).

The vehicle

The writeup  -- summary of provisions (and an illustration of Archive.org)

The 2014 farm bill and the "dairy cliff"

The Art of the Political Deal

 And to repeat:  Conditions for Deliberative Negotiation (Lawrence, p. 14)

• Acceptable sources of information. 
• Repeated interactions 
• Penalty defaults
• Privacy

Integrative Negotiation and linkage:  It takes a logjam to logroll.

Budget sequestration

Murray-Ryan:  A summary

Coda:  They pretty much gave up on deficit control

Crisis and Scandal as a Prod to Action

Sanders and McCain find a deal

Bernie Sanders and John McCain

Policy Windows and  The Issue-Attention Cycle




Public Lands Case Study

Most public lands are in the West:

 

Public Lands 2019

A couple of quotations about Congress and life in general:

• "At some point somebody has to decide, let's do it the old-fashioned way, which is `one thing I hate for one thing I love.'" (Lawrence, p. 39)
• "Here's a list of what we have to have. Here's a list of the ones we really, really hate. Here's a list of `if you put this language on page 4 we could swallow it.' And then you work that list." (Lawrence, pp. 40-41).

The vehicle

(The military administers 8.8 million acres of land)

The writeup  -- summary of provisions (and an illustration of Archive.org)

THE US DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE IS PRIMARILY A SOCIAL WELFARE AGENCY.

The 2014 farm bill and the "dairy cliff" penalty default (Lawrence, p. 51)

Domestic Policy

Distributive Politics

Earmarks and the Cunningham Bribe Menu (Davidson 405-407)



John Hudak at Brookings:

The removal of congressional earmarking does not make earmarking going away. It simply transfers that power and that practice from the legislative branch to the executive branch. Presidents—and their appointees—engage in pork-barrel politicking (earmarking) in the same way Congress does. Reforming the process in Congress by curtailing the practice of earmarking simply shifts that power more explicitly to a president and a cadre of unelected bureaucrats in government. Eliminating earmarking is a serious abdication of power by Congress which empowers a branch of government beyond what the Founders intended.

Regulatory Politics

Regulation and Its Cost (by CMC alum Richard Morrison)

Social Insurance (Theodore Marmor):

Social insurance, like commercial insurance, is about protection against financial risk. It is “insurance” in the sense that people contribute to a fund to protect themselves against unpredictable financial risks. These include outliving one’s savings in old age, the early death of a breadwinner, the onset of a disability that makes work difficult if not impossible, the high costs of acute illness, involuntary unemployment, and work-related injury. Yet unlike with commercial insurance, contributions are not prices in a market and thus do not depend on the contributor’s risk profile (unless commercial regulations say otherwise, in essence creating “social” insurance through the backdoor). Instead of a contract between an enrollee and an insurer, social insurance is a system of shared protection among the insured, most comparable to mutual insurance in the commercial realm, with contributions made in proportion to one’s market income. In social insurance, the “insurer”—whether a government agency or a corporate body with a joint labor-management board—is the agent of the contributing enrollees. And unlike commercial insurance, the social insurance “contract” mandates participation by law, since otherwise adverse selection would cause its unraveling.

Poverty Rate by Age

................18-64................65+

1959............17.0.............35.2
1969............08.7.............25.3
1979............10.9.............15.2
1989............10.2.............11.4
1999............10.1.............09.7
2009............12.9.............08.9
2017............11.2.............09.2

Credit Social Security for the decline in elder poverty

See how different the figures would be:















REVISITING A TOPIC FROM MARCH 6:



Policy Windows and  The Issue-Attention Cycle

The Art of the Political Deal

Second-gen simulation

Talk to alums of the simulation (A couple of folks from the 2016 sim are still on campus)

A reprise of our class anthem:



And to repeat:  Conditions for Deliberative Negotiation (Lawrence, p. 14)

• Acceptable sources of information. 
• Repeated interactions 
• Penalty defaults
• Privacy

Integrative Negotiation:  It takes a logjam to logroll.

Budget sequestration

Murray-Ryan:  A summary

Coda:  They pretty much gave up on deficit control

Crisis and Scandal as a Prod to Action

Sanders and McCain find a deal

Bernie Sanders and John McCain

Policy Windows and  The Issue-Attention Cycle




Public Lands Case Study

Most public lands are in the West:

 

Public Lands 2019

A couple of quotations about Congress and life in general:

• "At some point somebody has to decide, let's do it the old-fashioned way, which is `one thing I hate for one thing I love.'" (Lawrence, p. 39)
• "Here's a list of what we have to have. Here's a list of the ones we really, really hate. Here's a list of `if you put this language on page 4 we could swallow it.' And then you work that list." (Lawrence, pp. 40-41).

The vehicle

The writeup  -- summary of provisions (and an illustration of Archive.org)

The 2014 farm bill and the "dairy cliff"

The Art of the Political Deal II

A Facebook post:

Second-gen simulation

Politico Playbook offers an example of a discharge petition (Davidson, 238-240):

IN CASE YOU MISSED IT (YOU PROBABLY DID) … AS OF LAST NIGHT, 87 HOUSE DEMOCRATS have signed a discharge petition to try to force a vote on a bill that would “ensure that all individuals who should be prohibited from buying a firearm are listed in the National Instant Criminal Background Check System, and provide a responsible and consistent background check process.”

-- A DISCHARGE PETITION is really the only way the minority can pressure the majority to bring a bill to the floor. It needs another 129 signatures to make it to the floor -- that means Republicans need to sign on, as well. The signers http://bit.ly/2BU7U8L

The Issue-Attention Cycle

Public Lands Case Study

Most public lands are in the West:

 
Policy Windows

A couple of quotations about Congress and life in general:

• "At some point somebody has to decide, let's do it the old-fashioned way, which is `one thing I hate for one thing I love.'" (Lawrence, p. 39)
• "Here's a list of what we have to have. Here's a list of the ones we really, really hate.  Here's a list of `if you put this language on page 4 we could swallow it.'  And then you work that list." (Lawrence, pp. 40-41).

The vehicle

The writeup  -- summary of provisions (and an illustration of Archive.org)

The 2014 farm bill

Political Deals

Recent bipartisan bills: postal reform, antilynching legislation, omnibus with Ukraine aid.

Policy Windows and  The Issue-Attention Cycle




Public Lands Case Study

Most public lands are in the West:

 

Public Lands 2019

A couple of quotations about Congress and life in general:

• "At some point somebody has to decide, let's do it the old-fashioned way, which is `one thing I hate for one thing I love.'" (Lawrence, p. 39)
• "Here's a list of what we have to have. Here's a list of the ones we really, really hate. Here's a list of `if you put this language on page 4 we could swallow it.' And then you work that list." (Lawrence, pp. 40-41).

The vehicle

(The military administers 8.8 million acres of land)

The writeup  -- summary of provisions (and an illustration of Archive.org)

THE US DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE IS PRIMARILY A SOCIAL WELFARE AGENCY.

The 2014 farm bill and the "dairy cliff" penalty default (Lawrence, p. 51)

Food for thought:  crime.

• Federalization of crimes.
• Murder rate

Art of the Political Deal I

Simulation roles

End around 12:10 for mtg.

Conditions for Deliberative Negotiation (Lawrence, p. 14)

• Acceptable sources of information. 
• Repeated interactions 
• Penalty defaults (shutdown looms IRL)
• Privacy

Integrative Negotiation and linkage:  It takes a logjam to logroll.

Budget sequestration

Murray-Ryan:  A summary

Coda: They pretty much gave up on deficit control

Crisis and Scandal as a Prod to Action

Sanders and McCain find a deal

Bernie Sanders and John McCain

Policy Windows and  The Issue-Attention Cycle

"The tide in the affairs of men does not remain at flood -- it ebbs. We may cry out desperately for time to pause in her passage, but time is adamant to every plea and rushes on. Over the bleached bones and jumbled residues of numerous civilizations are written the pathetic words, `Too late.'" -- Martin Luther King, Jr.

Coda II:  Infrastructure and the important of policy windows

Public Lands Case Study

Most public lands are in the West:

 

Public Lands 2019

A couple of quotations about Congress and life in general:

• "At some point somebody has to decide, let's do it the old-fashioned way, which is `one thing I hate for one thing I love.'" (Lawrence, p. 39)
• "Here's a list of what we have to have. Here's a list of the ones we really, really hate. Here's a list of `if you put this language on page 4 we could swallow it.' And then you work that list." (Lawrence, pp. 40-41).

The vehicle

(The military administers 8.8 million acres of land)

The writeup  -- summary of provisions (and an illustration of Archive.org)

THE US DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE IS PRIMARILY A SOCIAL WELFARE AGENCY.

The 2014 farm bill and the "dairy cliff" penalty default (Lawrence, p. 51)

Political Deals II

Last year's roster

For Tuesday, Davidson, ch. 10 and 11.

Partisanship, bipartisanship, and East Palestine

Partisan politics continues, though.  See the CRA

Crisis and Scandal as a Prod to Action

Sanders and McCain find a deal

Bernie Sanders and John McCain

Policy Windows and  The Issue-Attention Cycle

Coda II:  Infrastructure and the important of policy windows

Public Lands Case Study

Most public lands are in the West:

 

Public Lands 2019

A couple of quotations about Congress and life in general:

• "At some point somebody has to decide, let's do it the old-fashioned way, which is `one thing I hate for one thing I love.'" (Lawrence, p. 39)
• "Here's a list of what we have to have. Here's a list of the ones we really, really hate. Here's a list of `if you put this language on page 4 we could swallow it.' And then you work that list." (Lawrence, pp. 40-41).

The vehicle

(The military administers 8.8 million acres of land)

More recent examples:

• Public lands provision of 2021 NDAA
• Kevin and Avonte's Law

THE US DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE IS PRIMARILY A SOCIAL WELFARE AGENCY.

The 2014 farm bill and the "dairy cliff" penalty default (Lawrence, p. 51)