ABOUT THIS BLOG

I shall post videos, graphs, news stories, and other material there. We shall use some of this material in class, and you may review the rest at your convenience. You will all receive invitations to post to the blog. (Please let me know if you do not get such an invitation.) I encourage you to use the blog in these ways:
To post questions or comments about the readings before we discuss them in class;
To follow up on class discussions with additional comments or questions.
To post relevant news items or videos.

There are only two major limitations: no coarse language, and no derogatory comments about people at the Claremont Colleges.


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Thursday, February 27, 2025

Decisions and Interest Groups

 Town hall update.

For next week, read Lawrence, all (it is a short, easy-to-read book) and bring it to class.

On Tuesday, we shall do role selection.  If you cannot make it to class, ask someone to represent you.

For your papers, do NOT worry about first and second readings.  Focus on key status steps (committee action, rules, floor votes) and patterns of support and opposition.

Foreign lobbying (pp. 382-83)

 Covert means:

Overt means:

Interest group ratings (375-76)

Simulation Roles, Spring 2025

Read last year's sim handbook.  This year will be similar, with new dates and rules.

See last year's roles.  Of students still on campus, see if they want to be administration members or witnesses.

See video of past simulations: here, here, and here.

For simulation purposes this year, Democrats will be the majority.  Thune and Schumer will be on Foreign Relations.

Foreign Relations

Democrats

  • Jeanne Shaheen (NH), Chair
  • Charles Schumer (NY), Majority Leader
  • Tim Kaine (VA)
  • Cory Booker (NJ)
  • Tammy Duckworth (IL)
  • Jacky Rosen (NV)

Republicans

  • James Risch (ID), Ranking
  • John Thune (SD), Minority Leader
  • Bill Hagerty (TN)
  • Rand Paul (KY)
  • Rick Scott (FL)

Judiciary

Democrats

  • Dick Durbin (IL), Chair
  • Sheldon Whitehouse (RI)
  • Amy Klobuchar (MN)
  • Mazie Hirono (HI)
  • Adam Schiff (CA)
  • Alex Padilla (CA)

Republicans

  • Chuck Grassley (IS), Ranking
  • Lindsey Graham (SC)
  • Ted Cruz (TX)
  • Mike Lee (UT)
  • Katie Britt (AL)

Tuesday, February 25, 2025

Decisions, Decisions

Town hall protests

Fill out the 3x5 cards.  List all the committees that you would like to simulate.  You may list one, some, or all. We will simulate the top two finishers.

  • Judiciary
  • Finance
  • Foreign Relations 
  • Armed Services 
  • Energy and Natural Resources 
  • Environment & Public Works 
Variations of Lawmaking

Vote-a-Rama (amendments mostly symbolic and nonbinding)


Rule XIV of the Senate:
The Senate’s standing committees play an essential part in the legislative process, as they select the small percentage of the bills introduced each Congress that, in their judgment, deserve the attention of the Senate as a whole, and as they recommend amendments to these bills based on their expert knowledge and experience. Most bills are routinely referred to the committee with appropriate jurisdiction as soon as they are introduced. However, paragraph 4 of Rule XIV permits a Senator to bypass a committee referral and have the bill placed directly on the Calendar of Business, with exactly the same formal status the bill would have if it had been considered and reported by a Senate committee.

Mr. MCCONNELL. Mr. President, I understand that there is a bill at the desk, and I ask for its first reading.

The PRESIDING OFFICER. The clerk will read the bill by title for the first time.

The senior assistant legislative clerk read as follows:

A bill (S. 1035) to extend authority relating to roving surveillance, access to business records, and individual terrorists as agents of foreign powers under the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act of 1978 and for other purposes.

Mr. MCCONNELL. I now ask for a second reading and, in order to place the bill on the calendar under the provisions of rule XIV, I object to my own request.

The PRESIDING OFFICER. Objection having been heard, the bill will be read for the second time on the next legislative day.2

Hotlining -- a 2019 example -- a short video
Earmarking and Phonemarking
BTU'd
Alternative to conference: "message between houses" or Ping-ponging

Individual Decisions

Specialization and the importance of biography (Davidson, p. 247)

Timing

Party Unity (Davidson p. 256). TO ANALYZE A ROLL-CALL VOTE, LOOK AT THE EXCEPTIONS: THE MEMBERS WHO BROKE PARTY RANKS.  Marshall Bessey thesis on the impeachment Republicans 

From Roll Call:

 


DO NOT TRY TO REDUCE ROLL CALL VOTES TO CAMPAIGN CONTRIBUTIONS. Consider primary and general election constituencies.


History and DW-Nominate (Davidson 263)




This measurement is extremely influential in political science. It is also extremely flawed.

Bargaining and cues

Cosponsorship and Dear Colleague

Thursday, February 20, 2025

Procedure

Ending a little early today (joining a video meeting right after).

Cocaine Mitch is retiring.  He started in 1984 with these two classic ads by Roger Ailes.

Political violence

The Candy Desk

For Tuesday, Davidson 9,13.  AND DO NOT FORGET YOUR WEEKLY WRITEUP, WHICH ARE PART OF YOUR PARTICIPATION GRADE.

Committees?  Choose on Tuesday


The Floor and the Rules

Tuesday, February 18, 2025

Committees and Bills

From last time:

The inside game and the outside game:  in LBJ's time in the Senate, the outside game scarcely counted.  Gingrich and C-SPAN start to change things.  Newt v. O'Neill 1984 (start clip at 9:30)

The conference/caucus holds separate elections for leader/speaker,whip, and other posts. The people holding these jobs are often intraparty rivals.  They work together, but warily.

He tried to teach his young assistants to read men—“Watch their hands, watch their eyes,” he told them. “Read eyes. No matter what a man is saying to you, it’s not as important as what you can read in his eyes”—and to read between the lines: more interested in men’s weaknesses than in their strengths because it was weakness that could be exploited, he tried to teach his assistants how to learn a man’s weakness. “The most important thing a man has to tell you is what he’s not telling you,” he said. “The most important thing he has to say is what he’s trying not to say.”


Stylistic comments

For next time, Davidson, ch. 8

Simulation committees?

  • How members end up on committees
    • "Steering committees" in House & Senate (Davidson pp. 180-186 of 19th ed)
    • Speaker-appointed House committees: Rules, House Administration, Intelligence
    • Seniority and other criteria
  • Removals:  The case of Ilhan Omar
  • House and Senate jurisdictions are not quite the same.



LEGISLATION REALLY CAN PASS 

Also see 2019 public lands bill.  

Congress.gov record of the bill

We shall read Jill Lawrence's account of a similar bill from a few years ago.


USA PATRIOT Act:  “Uniting and Strengthening America by Providing Appropriate Tools Required to Intercept and Obstruct Terrorism

 

Second Assignment, Spring 2025

  CHOOSE ONE:

1. Pick any bill from the 118th Congress. Explain its fate. Instead of giving a mere chronology, tell why the measure moved or stalled. What had happened to previous versions? Which groups or blocs backed and fought it?  Did the administration take a position? Which strategies and tactics did its friends and foes use? Even if it failed or stalled, did it prompt the passage of a similar measure in a different form? Look at parliamentary strategies, major amendments, and roll calls. Again, you should explain the outcome, not just describe the process.  Some possible topics:



2. Pick pending legislation that has not yet passed either house. Write a memo to its prime sponsor detailing a plausible strategy for securing its passage at least in one chamber. (One example might be a proposed constitutional amendment.) In your answer, consider all phases of the legislative process and take account of the influence of interest groups and the administration. And of course, remember the tight partisan balance in each chamber.

Get background from a source such as CQ Magazine where you may find the partisan breakdown of roll-call votes. 

Other possible sources include:
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  • Essays should be typed, double-spaced, and no more than five pages long. I will not read past the fifth page. 
  • Submit papers as Word documents, not pdfs or Google docs.
  • Cite your sources with endnotes in standard Turabian format. Endnote pages do not count against the page limit.
  • Misrepresenting AI-generated content as your own work is plagiarism and will result in severe consequences.
  • Watch your spelling, grammar, diction, and punctuation. Errors will count against you  -- especially errors that I have noted on previous papers. Return essays (again, as Word documents, not pdfs) to the Sakai dropbox by 11:59 PM, Friday, March 7. I reserve the right to dock papers will one gradepoint for one day’s lateness, a full letter grade after that.

Thursday, February 13, 2025

The Craft of Leadership

 The House minority leader has limited power, as we discussed on Tuesday.

This week: Cocaine Mitch votes against Gabbard and RFK.

  • For Monday, Davidson, ch. 7.  Next assignment will involve explaining the fate of a bill.
  • Start thinking about which two committees you want to simulate.

What is leadership?  What is power?

  • Transactional v. transformative
  • Sources of power
    • Knowledge of policy and procedure
    • Understanding of what followers want
    • Money
    • Reputation:  fear and respect
    • Influence on public opinion

Postscript to p. 137: McCarthy falls.

And PPS: change in the MTV

So why did Kevin McCarthy fail? Michael Tomasky:

McCarthy’s pulverizing failure as a legislative leader stems from two truths: One, he cared little about policy; two, his word was no good. He’d say anything to anyone. If you’ve read enough political biographies, you know that “he was always as good as his word” is a common form of high praise that can be delivered across partisan lines. McCarthy was as useless and malleable as his word.

Lesson:   pols understand that they mislead voters, but it is taboo to lie to fellow pols.

Narrow majorities require high levels of unity.


Boehner: 

  • "Pelosi had gutted Big John Dingell like a halibut she found floating around San Francisco Bay, then calmly sat back and had a cup of coffee afterward. His entrails were left on display for everyone in the House of Representatives to see- and to remember."
  • The Mark Meadows story: "Yeah, I said, I'd forgive him. But I knew he was carrying a backpack full of knives-and sooner or later, he'd try to cut me again with them. Which, of course, he did.
  • How did Boehner lead the fight against the House Bank?  (He had help.)
  • How did Bachmann turn the tables?

Barber Conable, a moderate Republican from upstate New York, retired in 1984, and wrote a column reflecting on life in the House. Instead of looking at the upstarts with horror, he instead saw something very natural:
Old as I am, I recall being a "young turk" at one point and participating noisily in a successful effort to change House rules which the then Establishment found adequate. I learned a lot about the institution from the effort, vented my frustrations, and gradually became part of the Establishment myself. Youth presses age, provides a good deal of the dynamic and the dialogue, and eventually ages. Partisans may not like the tranquility of my view of these recent histrionics, but I find reassurance in the cycle of renewal.

LBJ AND LEGISLATIVE LEADERSHIP

The Johnson Network




Image result for johnson treatment fortas



Image result for johnson theodore green






The inside game and the outside game:  in LBJ's time in the Senate, the outside game scarcely counted.  

Gingrich and C-SPAN start to change things. 


Tuesday, February 11, 2025

Leaders and Parties

 Americans hate Congress but like their own Members.

For Wednesday, we shall discuss the history of parties and leadership.  Carefully read the Boehner excerpt on Sakai or Canvas.

Also watch the interview with Cocaine Mitch (only 14 minutes).

(The story behind the nickname.)

Why is the House more diverse than the Senate?  (I.D.)


Hill leadership

Leadership Activities

Edmund Burke:
 In all bodies, those who will lead, must also, in a considerable degree, follow. They must conform their propositions to the taste, talent, and disposition, of those whom they wish to conduct: therefore, if an assembly is viciously or feebly composed in a very great part of it, nothing but such a supreme degree of virtue as very rarely appears in the world, and for that reason cannot enter into calculation, will prevent the men of talent disseminated through it from becoming only the expert instruments of absurd projects!

Speakership elections 

McCarthy concessions (Davidson 19th ed., 135-138).

More on Wednesday about McCarthy's skill set.

After compromising with Democrats, McCarthy fell to MTV change that he had accepted.

And then came Mike Johnson





Thursday, February 6, 2025

Elections, HIll Style, Home Style, USA Style

 Senate Democrats pull all-nighter against Vought.

For Monday, read Davidson, ch. 6.

Campaign Finance

Outside spending examples:

A local emergency and a national story:


In their home style (Davidson, 123 of 19th ed. 130 of 18th), members try to convey

  • Qualification
  • Identification
  • Empathy
Every single member has both a Hill style and a home style.



John McCain in 1993 showed that a fierce maverick can become very deferential when facing little old ladies:

 

AOC-DC questions Michael Cohen:





AOC District Office

d



During non-pandemic times, different kinds of encounters take place at town halls:
 

Town halls can sometimes get testy.




MTG:



USA Style meets Hill Style




Tuesday, February 4, 2025

Elections

 Presentation Thursday on the CMC Washington Program 

For Thursday, Davidson ch. 5

Remember for the assignment: Do not rely only on member websites:  search for interviews

The Almanac of American Politics 2022 does not have the latest data on House districts.  The lines may have changed and members might now represent districts with different numbers.

Ballotpedia is a good source for election data.

OpenSecrets is a good source for campaign finance data.

----------------------------

Home style v. Hill style:  members claiming credit for funding from programs they voted against


-----------------------------------------

Competition

  • Incumbents Usually Win -- House and Senate
  • House and Senate margins  

  • Control

  • Midterms Are Bad for the President's Party
  • Since 1994:  control is in play, majorities are usually narrow.
  • In 2024, GOP won the aggregate popular vote for the House.
  • The historical pattern:





  • The House

  • Overview  -- the game
  • Gerrymandering: cracking, packing, merging, isolating
  • Race and education:  the four quadrants
  • Crossover districts
  • The Senate

  • Senate classes (last year was a "class 1" election)
  • The vanishing of split delegations.  The 119th has just three:
    1. Maine:  Collins (R) and King (I)
    2. Wisconsin: Johnson (R) and Baldwin (D)
    3. Pennsylvania: Fetterman (D) and McCormick (R)

    Campaign Finance

    Blog Archive