ABOUT THIS BLOG

I shall post videos, graphs, news stories, and other material there. We shall use some of this material in class, and you may review the rest at your convenience. You will all receive invitations to post to the blog. (Please let me know if you do not get such an invitation.) I encourage you to use the blog in these ways:
To post questions or comments about the readings before we discuss them in class;
To follow up on class discussions with additional comments or questions.
To post relevant news items or videos.

There are only two major limitations: no coarse language, and no derogatory comments about people at the Claremont Colleges.


Search This Blog

Sunday, January 28, 2024

Elections 2024

Presentation today on the CMC Washington Program 

Ads in 2022

For Wednesday, Davidson ch. 5

Remember for the assignment: Do not rely only on member websites:  search for interviews

The Almanac of American Politics 2022 does not have the latest data on House districts.  The lines may have changed and members might now represent districts with different numbers.

Ballotpedia is a good source for election data.

OpenSecrets is a good source for campaign finance data.

----------------------------

Home style v. Hill style:  members claiming credit for funding from programs they voted against.  Course alum Alex Griffing `08 reports.

-----------------------------------------

Competition

  • Incumbents Usually Win -- House and Senate
  • House and Senate margins  

    • Control

  • Midterms Are Bad for the President's Party
  • Since 1994:  control is in play, majorities are usually narrow.
  • In 2022, GOP won the aggregate popular vote for the House.
  • The historical pattern:



    • The House

  • Overview  -- the game
  • Gerrymandering: cracking, packing, merging, isolating
  • Race and education:  the four quadrants
  • Crossover districts

    • The Senate

  • Senate classes (last year was a "class 3" election)
  • The vanishing of split delegations.  The 118th has just five:
    1. Maine:  Collins (R) and King (I)
    2. Montana: Tester (D) and Daines (R)
    3. Ohio:  Brown (D) and Vance (R)
    4. WV:  Manchin (D) and Capito (R)
    5. Wisconsin: Johnson (R) and Baldwin (D)

    Campaign Finance

    Posted by at

    No comments:

    Post a Comment

    Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)

    Blog Archive