Congressional Elections I

The Big Picture

• Incumbents Usually Win 
• Victory Margins
• Coattails 
• Midterms Are Bad for the President's Party

The Senate

• The Class System
• The Exposure of the Class of 2014 and the results
• Senate coattails in 2012?
• Seats and Votes in the Senate

The House

• Gerrymandering: cracking, packing, merging, isolating
• Unintentionial gerrymandering
• GOP Advantage in Non-Minority Districts
• The "bench" advantage shifts to the GOP